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 [举手提问哈糗] 关于“对于通胀的错误预期" |
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[举手提问哈糗] 关于“对于通胀的错误预期" -- 黄埔半期 - (297 Byte) 2009-3-12 周四, 03:30 (1356 reads) |
天凉好个哈糗
头衔: 海归上校
声望: 教授
加入时间: 2006/03/27
文章: 731
海归分: 69072
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作者：天凉好个哈糗 在 海归商务 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
There will be no fcuking inflation no more, for the foreseeable future at least.
Maybe there r guys out there who can explain in 1 word, but definitely not me.
I listed few things below as a quick guide, see if u agree.
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1. V
2. Money Supply or base money
3. Shadow banking system's disappearance.(We don't have this b4 though)
4. Credit expansion (The willingness and the ability)
5. Multiplier.
1.V is down, from 11-13 to about 6-8;
2. Money supply is up, rapidly and dramatically;
3. Gone, no more in a foreseeable future;
4. Willingness, maybe; Ability, NOPE;
5. Multiplier, down like V in 1;.
The only thing Fed can pop up is 2, and compared with 3, 2 is just nothing.
That is why, maybe in the long term, could be a very long one this time, u should start worry about inflation; But it is just not now...
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Btw, we r all dead, in the long term...
作者：天凉好个哈糗 在 海归商务 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
上一次由天凉好个哈糗于2009-3-12 周四, 13:40修改，总共修改了1次
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 [举手提问哈糗] 关于“对于通胀的错误预期" -- 黄埔半期 - (297 Byte) 2009-3-12 周四, 03:30 (1356 reads) - It would be a long story...to explain to u why -- 天凉好个哈糗 - (1028 Byte) 2009-3-12 周四, 11:45 (432 reads)
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