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 Just some charts. No need to be too bearish, |
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熊声一地，今天平空仓，加多仓。 -- theoretical - (37 Byte) 2010-5-07 周五, 04:23 (1548 reads) |
theoretical
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作者：theoretical 在 青蛙园地 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
day. I covered all shorts today. Add some stocks I think they have long term value. Now let's explain why did I cover. This kind of fall 10% in two hours can not last, in another word, now is not 2008's LEH. The panic caused program trading to sell without any fundermental reason. The hard fall of today may cause shoot up tomorrow. Furthermore, how low can it go in next few days? Enough is enough, so I took profit and left the building. In terms of future, well, now people know the risk of stock market AGAIN. They have been on bull ride for so long, so the rally ( if any) will be a good chance for them to leave the market. In another word, game changed. I have said the mid term is down since early April. If you all paid attention to the market, you should notice a lot of big cap stocks already dropped a while ago, like MSFT, QCOM, AMZN, GS etc. Why big cap is improtant? Because most of them are held by big institutions. And those institutions are 70% of market trading. On the other side, index was riding high with IWM (small caps), and when market went up, it went with big volumn. These are all bad signs. Without any complicated TA indicator, traders should know it time to leave.
Still, no need to panic now. Game plan I have said many times, when market went up, sell. Will today's low will be the low of this yr? NO. Will 1220 be the high of this Yr? I guess not. It's pig's yr.
Always remember, when everyone this the only direction is up, you sell. When everyone think the only way is down, you buy. Anthing in between, you wait. 80% time, you shall wai and hold your positions, long or short.
I am not really qualified to be Banzhu here. Thus, I won't stay here long. I hope during my stay, I can share some of my thoughts with all of you and remind you, there is huge risk in stock market from time to time. As a trader, pay attention to details, discipline, confidence, calm, but most of all, try to survive.
作者：theoretical 在 青蛙园地 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
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