| 作者 |
 【MSNBC 预测美国房价】Where will housing be in 2012【何时何地抄底？】 |
 |
The Fifth Season
[博客]
头衔: 海归中将
声望: 博导
加入时间: 2008/09/12
文章: 4241
海归分: 567427
|
|
|
作者：The Fifth Season 在 海归商务 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
Florida
Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater
What a home will be worth in 2012: $119,348
Q4 2008 price: $166,000
Projected price change by MSA: -28.1%
Projected price change by state: -30.9%
The Tampa Bay area, on Florida's west coast, has seen its home prices fall dramatically and its unemployment rise. Like many Florida towns, the metro's economy depends on tourists continuing to visit its amusement parks, aquariums, and beaches. Florida, however, has been one of the biggest victims of the housing bust and won't see a meaningful rise in home values until 2012.
California
Metro: Los Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale
What a home will be worth in 2012: $253,328
Q4 2008 price: $350,000
Projected price change by MSA: -27.6%
Projected price change by state: -13.2%
Los Angeles, best known as the home of Hollywood, is home to excellent universities such as the University of Southern California and large corporations such as aerospace contractor Northrop Grumman. Southern California has been particularly damaged by the downturn in the housing market and home values are expected to remain soft.
Nevada
Metro: Las Vegas-Paradise
What a home will be worth in 2012: $184,917
Q4 2008 price: $212,000
Projected price change by MSA: -12.8%
Projected price change by state: -15.0%
Because of overdevelopment, Las Vegas-Paradise metro has been one of the worst-hit markets of the housing downturn. On top of a 33 percent drop in 2008, prices are expected to fall an additional 24 percent this year.
Texas
Metro: Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown
What a home will be worth in 2012: $160,471
Q4 2008 price: $160,000
Projected price change by MSA: 0.3%
Projected price change by state: -0.1%
Texas in general and Houston in particular have been spared the worst of the downturn, thanks in large part to the energy industry. The sixth-largest metropolitan area in the country will hold steady over the next four years. Prices are expected to dip a bit in 2009 and 2010, but regain ground by 2012.
-----------------
Americans have not seen a boring housing market since the last millennium. You know — the average, ordinary kind of market where supply just about matches demand, prices are steady, and real estate ceases to be a topic of daily conversation. Instead, we've had six years of upside craziness followed by three years of downside terror. Now we're in a tug-of-war between those who think we've finally found a bottom and those who are convinced that the overhang of unsold homes is going to push prices considerably lower.
By 2012 we may finally get back to blissful boredom. With any luck, three years should be long enough for the U.S. economy to recover and for the nation's housing inventory to shrink to more normal levels. At that point, housing will return to its old ways, with prices governed not by national mood swings and global credit crises but by local issues ranging from zoning to immigration to job growth.
Prices? While they're likely to keep falling a while longer under the weight of foreclosures, the market is definitely closer to the bottom than the top. “We expect prices to drop for another year and then stabilize before starting to rise with incomes,” says Standard & Poor's chief economist David Wyss. Moody's Economy.com predicts the S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, maintained by data specialist Fiserv, will fall about 16 percent this year before regaining ground. ba<x>sed on the National Association of Realtors national median home price of $180,000 for the fourth quarter of 2008, that would mean a median of $152,000 at the end of 2009 and then a rebound to $179,000 by the end of 2012.
https://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/31449237/ns/business-picture_stories/displaymode/1247/?beginSlide=1
作者：The Fifth Season 在 海归商务 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
|
|
|
| 返回顶端 |
|
 |
|
-
 【MSNBC 预测美国房价】Where will housing be in 2012【何时何地抄底？】 -- The Fifth Season - (4307 Byte) 2009-10-21 周三, 05:10 (2748 reads)
|
|
|
|
您不能在本论坛发表新主题, 不能回复主题, 不能编辑自己的文章, 不能删除自己的文章, 不能发表投票, 您 不可以 发表活动帖子在本论坛, 不能添加附件不能下载文件, |
|
|
